The video game business is unpredictable. But if you can predict the trends with a reasonable degree of accuracy, your company can gain a big advantage. And sometimes, the process of making predictions can sharpen your thinking.
That’s why I am trying once again to predict what will happen in games in the next year. Some of these predictions will be wildly inaccurate. But I’m trying to be methodical about the process in hopes of getting better at it. I’ll revisit the predictions in a year to look at my scorecard. Since I write so much about the business, and I hear so many predictions, I think that it’s fair to go through the exercise myself. It’s also a good way to look to the past and see how far we’ve come.
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